Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 7.488534 8.788873 10.215598 11.892814 13.805933 15.915424 18.412655
2025-12-28 5.549338 7.361536 9.562909 12.411770 15.976375 20.262705 25.777437
2026-01-04 4.360818 6.383848 9.047701 12.760911 17.743037 24.129374 32.855528
2026-01-11 3.480299 5.549543 8.469071 12.800618 18.956471 27.266351 39.178527
2026-01-18 2.850438 4.908225 7.995305 12.831916 20.053847 30.239492 45.437926
2026-01-25 2.296264 4.256018 7.372000 12.508469 20.534785 32.314221 50.535099
2026-02-01 1.871293 3.720440 6.826229 12.193607 20.937758 34.241781 55.496713
2026-02-08 1.502863 3.204083 6.219940 11.676737 20.929288 35.496773 59.488191
2026-02-15 1.227392 2.799393 5.733772 11.278096 21.036078 36.891927 63.741043
2026-02-22 1.097401 2.650759 5.679208 11.611369 22.377570 40.328418 71.417582
2026-03-01 0.988663 2.523509 5.642424 11.963034 23.768046 43.926726 79.571494
2026-03-08 0.826219 2.245604 5.267926 11.629704 23.894594 45.394749 84.281221
2026-03-15 0.676504 1.974258 4.886188 11.278637 24.038575 47.052503 89.705037
2026-03-22 0.616783 1.909877 4.939394 11.821702 25.950293 52.020201 101.283402
2026-03-29 0.550001 1.811157 4.899977 12.165829 27.509778 56.475719 112.279211
2026-04-05 0.474236 1.667769 4.731462 12.205773 28.459684 59.872472 121.598029
2026-04-12 0.409637 1.537819 4.570515 12.236159 29.383893 63.276878 131.139859
2026-04-19 0.339493 1.369492 4.280850 11.925968 29.550936 65.225388 138.082832
2026-04-26 0.281526 1.220998 4.012647 11.623994 29.694385 67.121974 145.029427
2026-05-03 0.226779 1.063698 3.686965 11.128352 29.346153 67.990651 150.026544
2026-05-10 0.185085 0.937813 3.422926 10.746161 29.206656 69.259532 155.869036
2026-05-17 0.168309 0.903395 3.425047 11.065678 30.738740 74.121725 169.181542
2026-05-24 0.153673 0.872823 3.433392 11.402879 32.343213 79.241117 183.300944